ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Hybrid Transformer-TimesNet Model for Accurate
Prediction of Industrial Air Pollutants: A Case
Study of the Xinyang Industrial Zone, China
More details
Hide details
1
Guangdong University of Science and Technology, Dongguan, China
2
Shaoguan University, Shaoguan, China
Submission date: 2024-11-22
Final revision date: 2025-01-31
Acceptance date: 2025-03-25
Online publication date: 2025-05-07
Corresponding author
Siyuan He
School of Management, Guangdong University of Science and Technology, Dongguan, China
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Air pollution in industrial zones poses significant threats to environmental and public health,
especially in developing regions, highlighting the necessity for accurate forecasting to guide pollution
management. This study presents an Optuna-enhanced hybrid Transformer-TimesNet model aimed
at improving time series forecasting of six critical pollutants (SO2, NO2, CO, O3, PM10, and PM2.5)
in Xinyang Industrial Zone, Xiamen, China. Utilizing air quality data from 2019 to 2023, the model
combines the Transformer’s strength in capturing long-range dependencies with TimesNet’s expertise
in handling complex temporal patterns. Advanced preprocessing techniques were employed to
address both linear and non-linear data components, and Optuna was used for hyperparameter tuning,
enhancing model stability and predictive accuracy. Comparative experiments demonstrated the hybrid
model’s superior performance against traditional statistical methods, machine learning models, and deep
learning approaches, evaluated through metrics such as MAE, RMSE, SMAPE, and R2. The model’s
capability to accurately capture long-term pollutant trends underscores its reliability and validity
as a predictive tool for policymakers and environmental managers. These results contribute to theoretical
advancements in environmental monitoring and offer practical solutions for public health protection and
pollution mitigation, demonstrating the potential of hybrid deep learning models in addressing complex
forecasting challenges.