ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on a Carbon Reduction Optimization
Model for a Megalopolis Based on Land-Use
Planning and ICCLP Method
Ze-sen Wang1, Lin Liu1, Zheng Xu2, Zhuang Li3, Yu Li1
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1MOE Key Laboratory of regional Energy Systems Optimization, Resources and Environmental Research Academy,
North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
2School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 100012, China
3Changsha Vocational College of Environmental Protection, Changsha 410004, China
Submission date: 2014-03-21
Final revision date: 2014-08-06
Acceptance date: 2014-09-03
Publication date: 2015-02-06
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2015;24(1):347-354
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ABSTRACT
For the primary purpose of minimizing carbon dioxide emissions in a megalopolis, an optimization
model that remarkably reduces carbon emissions for the megalopolis, which is based on the inexact chanceconstrained
linear programming (ICCLP) method and incorporates interval linear programming (ILP), and
chance constrained programming (CCP), has been constructed. The corresponding net emissions of carbon
dioxide results in probability levels of default equalling pi=0.01, 0.05, 0.1 are [1,383.379, 1,825.311]×104,
[1,357.728, 1,800.841]×104, [1,338.671, 1,780.060]×104 tons in the megalopolis in 2015. Besides, the areas of
different types of carbon-sinkable land of various cities within planned regions are obtained. The volume of
energy consumption of dominating energy consumption industries in planned regions equals [965.52,
1,136.79]×104 tons, which is reduced by [14.97, 22.09]%, while the intensity of energy consumption is
decreased by [18.00, 20.00]% compared with that in 2010. Meanwhile, the intensities of carbon emissions are
reduced by 20.00%, 19.00%, and 18.08%, respectively, under the conditions of pi=0.01, 0.05, 0.1. It meets the
requirements that carbon intensity shall be cut down by 17.00% in 2015 compared with that in 2010, which
was proposed by “The 12th Five-Year Initiative of Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions.” The annual average
GDP growth rate is 12.20%, reaching 9.79×1011 yuan in total, higher than the expected annual growth rate
of 10% in accordance with the development objective of “12th Five-Year” plan.