ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Decarbonization or Transformation First?
Assessing the Synergistic Effects of
Carbon Reduction Dual Pilot Policies
on Ecological Resilience
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1
International Business School, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710100, China
2
Business School, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250000, China
3
College of Water Resources and Environment, University of Jinan, Jinan 250000, China
4
School of Digital Economy and Management, Suzhou City University, Suzhou 215104, China
5
Free Trade Zone Comprehensive Research Institute, Suzhou University, Suzhou 215104, China
Submission date: 2024-11-23
Final revision date: 2025-03-24
Acceptance date: 2025-04-19
Online publication date: 2025-07-21
Corresponding author
Qingsong Wang
School of Digital Economy and Management, Suzhou City University, Suzhou 215104, China
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ABSTRACT
The dual pilot initiatives for “low-carbon cities” and “new energy demonstration cities” are pivotal
for promoting sustainable development, offering critical insights for leveraging policy combinations to
foster global ecological sustainability. Using panel data from 285 Chinese cities (2008-2022), this paper
employs an asymptotic difference-in-differences model to assess the impact of carbon reduction dual
pilot policies on urban ecological resilience, examining their synergistic pathways and mechanisms.
Findings indicate that the dual policy significantly boosts ecological resilience more effectively than
single policies, with sequential adoption showing stronger and swifter improvements. The dual pilot
cities that first become “new energy demonstration cities” pilots and then become “low-carbon cities”
pilots have stronger and faster ecological resilience improvement effects. The effects of the dual pilot
policy are mediated through industrial upgrading and R&D compensation, with greater impacts
in central and western regions, developed cities, and non-resource-based cities. The effect of the dual
pilot policy has dynamic heterogeneity, and the policy effect significantly improves when the local
fiscal revenue level crosses the threshold. Additionally, the dual pilot policy exhibits positive spatial
spillovers, enhancing the ecological resilience of neighboring cities.