ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Environmental Assessment of PM2.5 Concentration
Patterns Through TC-MixerInformer Modeling:
Cross-Regional Analysis of Shanghai and London
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Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, China
Submission date: 2025-07-24
Final revision date: 2025-10-23
Acceptance date: 2025-11-02
Online publication date: 2026-02-03
Corresponding author
Changgui Gu
Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, China
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ABSTRACT
Urban air quality prediction faces dual challenges: complex pollution processes and cross-regional
diversity. Traditional methods and deep learning techniques often struggle with non-stationary time
series data and fail to adapt to unique urban pollution patterns. Additionally, existing models face
computational limitations when processing long sequences. Although the Informer model improves
computational efficiency through ProbSparse self-attention mechanisms, its accuracy decreases with
longer prediction horizons. This limitation stems from inadequate adaptability to non-stationary
environmental changes and insufficient capture of temporal variations inherent in urban air quality
data. Meanwhile, cities in developed and developing countries exhibit fundamentally different pollution
mechanisms, challenging models’ cross-regional generalization capabilities. To tackle these two
challenges, this study proposes TC-MixerInformer, combining Reversible Instance Normalization
(RevIN) with a Temporal-Channel Mixer (TCMixer) module. Validation using Shanghai (Jing’an)
and London (North Kensington) monitoring stations demonstrates excellent performance in both
short-term (1-12 h) and long-term (24-168 h) predictions, with 8%-54% error reductions compared
to baseline models. The model effectively handles Shanghai’s complex pollution patterns
(2-378 μg/m³, mean 28.23 μg/m³) and London’s lower concentrations (0-121.56 μg/m³, mean 8.08 μg/m³).
RevIN addresses time series non-stationarity while TCMixer enhances multi-scale feature expression,
maintaining stable performance across different time scales. The model shows particular advantages
in predicting extreme pollution events, especially capturing substantial peaks approaching
350+ μg/m³ in Shanghai. Our research provides a new technical approach for addressing scale diversity
and temporal non-stationarity in urban air quality prediction.