ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Regional Agricultural Green Transformation
Under the Influence of Spatial and Temporal
Heterogeneity of Carbon Footprints
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1
College of Agriculture, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu 225009, China
2
School of Architectural Engineering, Shandong Polytechnic College; Jining, 272067, China
3
School of Landscape and Architecture, Dong-a University, Busan, 49315, Republic of Korea
4
College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
Submission date: 2025-01-22
Final revision date: 2025-03-11
Acceptance date: 2025-03-25
Online publication date: 2025-05-23
Corresponding author
Xin LI
College of Agriculture, Yangzhou University, 225009, Yangzhou, China
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ABSTRACT
Agricultural carbon emissions and sinks play a crucial role in achieving sustainable development,
especially in the context of global climate change. This study examines the spatiotemporal characteristics
and driving factors of agricultural carbon footprints in Jiangsu, China, using data from 2001 to 2020.
The emission factor method was used to calculate carbon emissions, sequestration, and footprints
for different regions and crops, while the geographic detector model was used to analyze the key factors
influencing carbon footprints and their interactions. The results show a downward trend in the overall
agricultural carbon footprint, with total emissions decreasing from 437.08×10⁴ t to 417.09×10⁴ t. Carbon
sequestration increased over the years, with rice and wheat being the main carbon sequestering crops.
A distinct spatial pattern of “higher in the north, lower in the south” was observed, with northern
Jiangsu having a higher carbon footprint and southern Jiangsu having a significant ecological carbon
surplus. Key factors such as the level of agricultural technology and labor force significantly influenced
the spatial distribution. The study recommends promoting low-carbon technologies and optimizing
cropping structures in northern Jiangsu to balance regional carbon footprints. These findings provide
a quantitative basis for green agricultural development in Jiangsu and insights for low-carbon
agricultural policy formulation in other regions.