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eISSN: 2083-5906
ISSN: 1230-1485
ISSN: 1230-1485
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on Comprehensive Risk Assessment
Model of Photovoltaic Desertification Control
Projects Based on the Whole Life Cycle
– A Case Study of China
1
State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Company, Urumqi, China
Submission date: 2024-01-24
Final revision date: 2024-04-23
Acceptance date: 2024-07-22
Online publication date: 2024-11-22
Publication date: 2025-07-22
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(5):5655-5668
KEYWORDS
Desertification control by photovoltaicrisk evaluation index systemecological benefitsprecision investment
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The establishment of photovoltaic power stations (photovoltaic desertification control) in desert
regions presents a viable solution for the prevention and mitigation of desertification. However, due to
the difficult construction, high investment amount, and strong technical complexity of photovoltaic sand
control projects, coupled with the significant influence of environmental factors on photovoltaic module
output power, these projects encounter heightened risks and uncertainties throughout their entire life
cycle. Therefore, conducting a comprehensive risk assessment for photovoltaic desertification control
projects is of immense significance. This study establishes a scientifically rigorous and comprehensive
risk index evaluation system tailored to the specific characteristics of photovoltaic sand control projects.
By integrating the Analytic Network Process (ANP) with the gray fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
method, an assessment of China’s photovoltaic sand control projects is conducted to determine their
risk levels. The findings indicate that photovoltaic desertification control projects in China fall within
the range of “medium” to “high” risk levels. Furthermore, based on the evaluation results, this paper
provides targeted risk management recommendations for each identified factor, aiming to assist
policymakers and investors in effectively addressing potential risks.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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| eISSN: | 2083-5906 |
| ISSN: | 1230-1485 |
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