ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Stability Evaluation and Spatial-Temporal
Evolution of Regional Economic-Energy-
Environment System in the Context of Carbon
Neutrality: A Case Study in East China
More details
Hide details
1
North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China
2
China Huaneng Group, Ltd., Beijing, China
Submission date: 2024-01-15
Final revision date: 2024-03-16
Acceptance date: 2024-04-27
Online publication date: 2024-09-02
Publication date: 2025-01-28
Corresponding author
Na An
China Huaneng Group.,Ltd, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(3):2197-2212
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
With the proposal of China’s dual-carbon goal, the contradiction between regional economic
development, energy consumption, and environmental governance is increasingly acute, and the stability
of the economy-energy-environment (3E) system is increasingly prominent, which is an inevitable
choice to effectively promote the green and low-carbon transformation of China’s economy. Based on
the stability of the 3E system, an index system was constructed from three dimensions: availability
of the energy-resource system, coordination of the energy-economic system, and sustainability of the
energy-ecosystem. Based on the principal component analysis and mature-element extension evaluation
model, the stability and spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the 3E system in East China were
systematically evaluated. The results show that, firstly, from the spatial dimension, the coordination
degree of the energy economic system is good in the economically developed A region, while the
energy utilization efficiency is low in the economically less developed B region, and the sustainability
of the energy ecosystem is relatively poor. Secondly, in terms of time dimension, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, and
Shandong are the regions with rising fluctuations, Shanghai and Anhui are the regions with decreasing
fluctuations, and Zhejiang and Fujian are the regions with relatively stable fluctuations, which is
conducive to realizing the common vision of regional green and low-carbon development, breaking the
geographical and information gap between provinces, and gradually forming a community of 3E system
coupling and coordinated development.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
REFERENCES (56)
1.
HU H., ZHANG X.-H., LIN L.-L. The interactions between China's economic growth, energy production and consumption and the related air emissions during 2000-2011. Ecological Indicators, 46, 38, 2014.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecol....
2.
CRANSTON G.R., HAMMOND G.P. North and south: Regional footprints on the transition pathway towards a low carbon, global economy. Applied Energy, 87 (9), 2945, 2010.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apen....
3.
CUI H., WU R., ZHAO T. Sustainable Development Study on an Energy-Economic-Environment System Based on a Vector Autoregression Model in Shanxi, China. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 28 (3), 1623, 2019.
https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes....
4.
Full text of Xi's statement at the General Debate of the 75th Session of the United Nations General Assembly, 2020.
5.
ZHANG Y.G., JIANG H.Y. Coordinating Energy Transition and Energy Security toward the Goal of the Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality. Social Sciences International, (04), 121, 2023.
6.
National Bureau of Statistics, 2024.
7.
YE J., TIAN L., ZHOU Y. Regional Energy-Economy-Environment Coupling Coordinated Development System Driven by Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutralization over 13 Cities in Jiangsu Province. Sustainability, 15 (2), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su1502....
9.
YOUSEFI-SAHZABI A., SASAKI K., YOUSEFI H., SUGAI Y. CO2 emission and economic growth of Iran. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 16 (1), 63, 2011.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027....
10.
OU J., MENG J., ZHENG J., MI Z., BIAN Y., YU X., LIU J., GUAN D. Demand-driven air pollutant emissions for a fast-developing region in China. Applied Energy, 204, 131, 2017.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apen....
11.
ODHIAMBO N.M. CO2 emissions and economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries: A panel data analysis. International Area Studies Review, 20 (3), 264, 2017.
https://doi.org/10.1177/223386....
12.
LU S.X., ZHOU Q.Z., FAN R. Analysis of the Relevancy between Energy Consumption and Environmental Pollution Based on Grey Theory. Jilin, PEOPLES R CHINA, 2012.
https://doi.org/10.4028/www.sc....
13.
AKHMAT G., ZAMAN K., SHUKUI T., IRFAN D., KHAN M.M. Does energy consumption contribute to environmental pollutants? evidence from SAARC countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 21 (9), 5940, 2014.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356... PMid:24453017.
14.
ACHEAMPONG A.O., BOATENG E., AMPONSAH M., DZATOR J. Revisiting the economic growth-energy consumption nexus: Does globalization matter? Energy Economics, 102, 2021.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enec....
15.
LIN B.Q., ZHOU Y.C. Does energy efficiency make sense in China? Based on the perspective of economic growth quality. Science of the Total Environment, 804, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scit... PMid:34798711.
16.
JING Z., ZHANG L.Y., ZHANG J.M., DENG S.H., ZHANG Y.Z., LI Y. W., SHEN F., YANG G., SONG C. Theoretical relationship between energy consumption and economic output. Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy, 11 (7), 643, 2016.
https://doi.org/10.1080/155672....
17.
CHENG M., LIU Y., LI J., LIU B. Analysis on the Output Elasticity and Contribution Rate of Energy Consumption to Economic Growth in China's Yangtze River Economic Zone. Journal of Systems Science and Information, 10 (2), 150, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.21078/JSSI-....
18.
SAIDI K., HAMMAMI S. The impact of energy consumption and CO2 emissions on economic growth: Fresh evidence from dynamic simultaneous-equations models. Sustainable Cities and Society, 14, 178, 2015.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.....
19.
AYDIN C., CETINTAS Y. Does the level of renewable energy matter in the effect of economic growth on environmental pollution? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29 (54), 81624, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356... PMid:35739444.
20.
ZHANG J., ZHANG K., ZHAO F. Spatial effects of economic growth, energy consumption and environmental pollution in the provinces of China-An empirical study of a spatial econometrics model. Sustainable Development, 28 (4), 868, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.204....
21.
YE L., DANG Y., FANG L., WANG J. A nonlinear interactive grey multivariable model based on dynamic compensation for forecasting the economy-energy-environment system. Applied Energy, 331, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apen....
22.
MU X., KONG L., TU C., CHEN J., HU G. Correlation and synergy analysis of urban economy-energy-environment system-A case study of Beijing. Natural Resource Modeling, 35 (1), 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1111/nrm.12....
23.
ZHANG Y., MA H., WANG Q., XU Y., TIAN S., YUAN X., MA Q., XU Y., YANG S., LIU C. Multicity comparative assessment and optimized management path of sustainability of the economy-energy-environment system: A case study of core cities in China's three major economic circles. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.4... PMid:37849019.
24.
LI S., WANG W., WANG L., WANG G. Digital Economy and 3E Efficiency Performance: Evidence from EU Countries. Sustainability, 15 (7), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su1507....
25.
LEI H., XU W. How does the transformation of the energy structure impact the coordinated development of economy and environment? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30 (52), 112368, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356... PMid:37831235.
26.
ZHANG Y., CHENG J., SHEN Z., LIU S., TENG X., KAWAKAMI M. Study on the construction of energy-saving evaluation index system for the development of low-carbon industrial-A case study in Pingtan of Fujian Province, China. Energy Reports, 7, 86, 2021.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr....
27.
YE M., DENG F., YANG L., LIANG X. Evaluation of regional low-carbon circular economy development: a case study in Sichuan province, China. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 14 (1), 54, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM....
28.
ZEQIRAJ V., SOHAG K., SOYTAS U. Stock market development and low-carbon economy: The role of innovation and renewable energy. Energy Economics, 91, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enec....
29.
HU Z., YUAN J., HU Z. Study on China's low carbon development in an Economy-Energy-Electricity-Environment framework. Energy Policy, 39 (5), 2596, 2011.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpo....
30.
XING Z., HUANG J., WANG J. Low-carbon digital economy and regional development in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 413, 137552, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcle....
31.
PAN Y., DONG F. Green finance policy coupling effect of fossil energy use rights trading and renewable energy certificates trading on low carbon economy: Taking China as an example. Economic Analysis and Policy, 77, 658, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.....
32.
HOSEIN A.S., WHALE J., SIMSEK Y., URMEE T. Energy policy scenarios to transition to a low carbon economy by 2050: A case study on the Northern Territory of Australia. Energy Policy, 180, 113663, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpo....
33.
ZHOU P., ABBAS J., NAJAM H., ALVAREZ-OTERO S. Nexus of renewable energy output, green technological innovation, and financial development for carbon neutrality of Asian emerging economies. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 58, 103371, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta....
34.
WANG Y.J., HUhuang J.B. Pathway to develop a low-carbon economy through energy-substitution technology in China. Energy, 261, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ener....
36.
CHERP A., JEWELL J., VINICHENKO V., BAUER N., DE CIAN E. Global energy security under different climate policies, GDP growth rates and fossil resource availabilities. Climatic Change, 136 (1), 83, 2016.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584....
37.
ULLAH S., GOZGOR G., LU Z. How Do Conflicts Affect Energy Security Risk? Evidence from Major Energy-Consuming Economies. Economic Analysis and Policy, 82, 175-187, 2024.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.....
38.
LEE C.-C., YUAN Z., WANG Q. How does information and communication technology affect energy security? International evidence. Energy Economics, 109, 105969, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enec....
39.
WANG K., WANG Y.-W., WANG Q.-J. Will monetary policy affect energy security? Evidence from Asian countries. Journal of Asian Economics, 81, 101506, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asie....
40.
KUZIOR A., AREFIEVA O., VOVK O., BROŻEK P. Innovative development of circular systems while ensuring economic security in the industry. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 8 (3), 139, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc....
41.
XUE W. Construction of low carbon city economic security management system based on BP artificial neural network. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 53, 102699, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta....
42.
MENG Z., YU X., WANG L., CHEN W. Composite indicators for multi-dimensional assessments of marine economic security in China. Ocean & Coastal Management, 251, 107063, 2024.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocec....
43.
FALOPE T., LAO L., HANAK D., HUO D. Hybrid energy system integration and management for solar energy: A review. Energy Conversion and Management: X, 100527, 2024.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx....
45.
MANIVANNAN R. Research on IoT-based hybrid electrical vehicles energy management systems using machine learning-based algorithm. Sustainable Computing: Informatics and Systems, 41, 100943, 2024.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.susc....
46.
ZANG L. Evaluation and prediction of energy security in Inner Mongolia. Inner Mongolia University of Technology, 2023.
47.
XU Q., WU Y., ZHENG W., GONG Y., DUBLJEVIC S. Modeling and dynamic safety control of compressed air energy storage system. Renewable Energy, 208, 203, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rene....
48.
FU W., SUN J., LEE X. Research on the Openness of Digital Platforms Based on Entropy-Weighted TOPSIS: Evidence from China. Sustainability, 15 (4), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su1504....
49.
ZOU T., GUO P., WU Q. Applying an entropy-weighted TOPSIS method to evaluate energy green consumption revolution progressing of China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30 (14), 42267, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356... PMid:36642773.
50.
WANG X., LONG S. Analysis of Sustainable Development Level for Resource-Exhausted Cities in China from Perspective of Resilience. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 32 (2), 1967, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes....
51.
LIU B., CHEN T., YANG H., SEGERSTEDT A. Supplier evaluation and selection in a sustainable supply chain based on fuzzy-BWM, entropy method and grey relational TOPSIS. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 44 (6), 9919, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-2....
52.
XU G., PENG S., LI C., CHEN X. Synergistic Evolution of China's Green Economy and Digital Economy Based on LSTM-GM and Grey Absolute Correlation. Sustainability, 15 (19), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su1519....
53.
XU L., LI M., LU J. Dynamic Evaluation Method Based on Grey Correlational Analysis by the Method of Balance and Approach and Improved TOPSIS Considering the Preference of the Decision Maker. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 31 (3), 251, 2023.
54.
HOU H., WANG Y., LAN H. Student residential apartment performance evaluation using integrated AHP-FCE method. Journal of Building Engineering, 67, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe....
55.
LIU Y., OUYANG Z., YI H., QIN H. Study of the Multilevel Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Rock Burst Risk. Sustainability, 15 (17), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su1517....
56.
ZHAO W., PENG P., GUO B., DENG X., WU W. Comprehensive Social Cultural and Economic Benefits of Green Buildings Based on Improved AHP-FCE Method. Buildings, 13 (2), 2023.
https://doi.org/10.3390/buildi....