Based on the agricultural new quality productivity index and agricultural carbon emission efficiency
of provincial administrative regions in China from 2012 to 2021, this study empirically examines
the impact of agricultural new quality productivity on agricultural carbon emission efficiency.
Furthermore, it examines the mediating role of agricultural industrial structure upgrading, as well as
the moderating effect of industrial diversification. The key findings can be summarized as follows:
(1) The baseline regression shows that agricultural new quality productivity can significantly
improve the development of agricultural carbon emission efficiency. This conclusion remains robust
after considering endogeneity and after a series of robustness tests; (2) The mediating effect analysis
reveals that agricultural new quality productivity enhances agricultural carbon emission efficiency by
facilitating the upgrading of the agricultural industrial structure; (3) The moderating effect analysis
demonstrates that industrial diversification significantly and positively amplifies the impact of
agricultural new quality productivity on carbon emission efficiency; (4) Heterogeneity analysis indicates
that the effect of new quality productivity is more pronounced in eastern provinces and markets with
high maturity.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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