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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Will Limiting Agricultural Carbon Emissions
Affect China’s Agricultural Economy?
Panel Data from 31 Provinces in China
1
School of Foreign Languages, Changsha Social Work College, Changsha410004, China
2
Economic College, Hunan Agricultural University 410128, Changsha, China;
3
School of Accounting and Auditing, Guangxi Finance and Economics College, Nanning530003, China
Submission date: 2024-03-12
Final revision date: 2024-04-04
Acceptance date: 2024-04-18
Online publication date: 2024-09-16
Publication date: 2025-01-28
Corresponding author
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(3):2311-2322
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of agricultural carbon emissions on China’s
agricultural economic development, which is of great significance to the modernization of China’s
agricultural sector. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2019 to 2022, this paper
selected 10 carbon emission-related indicators and comprehensively adopted a pooled regression
model, a fixed effect model, and a random effect model to evaluate the impact. It also passes the
Hausman test and Tobit model stability test. The results show that limiting agricultural carbon
emissions in China has a significant impact on agricultural economic development; the total power
of agricultural machinery (TPAM), rural electricity consumption (REC), amount of agricultural
chemical fertilizer applied (AACF), and amount of plastic film used in agriculture (APF) have a
significant positive impact on the output of agricultural economy (OAE), while cultivated land
(CA) has no significant impact. Chinese agriculture is currently on the left side of the inverted
“U” shape of the environmental Kuznets curve. Therefore, there is a need for more research and
development of agricultural biotechnology and agricultural policy support to strengthen farmers’
knowledge of how to reduce carbon emissions using the above indicators, which can promote
agricultural economic growth and achieve high-quality agricultural development in China.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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| eISSN: | 2083-5906 |
| ISSN: | 1230-1485 |
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