ORIGINAL RESEARCH
A Comprehensive Assessment Method for Safety
Risk of Gas Tunnel Construction Based on Fuzzy
Bayesian Network
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Geotechnical and Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, China
Submission date: 2019-11-07
Final revision date: 2019-12-24
Acceptance date: 2019-12-28
Online publication date: 2020-06-01
Publication date: 2020-08-05
Corresponding author
Yiguo Xue
Geotechnical and Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University, No. 17923, Jingshi Road, Jinan City, 250061, Jinan City, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2020;29(6):4269-4289
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ABSTRACT
Currently, gas disasters in tunnels occur frequently and cause severe casualties and property losses.
However, there are few studies on the risk assessment of gas tunnels, especially comprehensive analysis
of the safety risk of gas tunnels considering multiple factors. This paper presents a comprehensive
assessment method for safety risk of gas tunnel construction based on fuzzy Bayesian network. The
results of safety risk assessment are determined by two aspects: risk probability and risk hazard. In
the process of assessment, 12 risk indicators were extracted from 32 important factors by the principal
component analysis method, and a fuzzy interpretative structural modeling was established and
converted into a fuzzy Bayesian network to evaluate the risk probability. The risk index weight was
obtained through principal component analysis, and the risk hazard level was calculated by using the
fuzzy comprehensive assessment method in combination with the hazard degree of the risk index. After
a comprehensive assessment of gas concentration and other field conditions, the relevant parameters
such as the fuzzy interpretative structural modeling and fuzzy Bayesian network are determined. This
paper selects two construction segments of the Like tunnel as case studies to verify the feasibility and
application prospects of this method. The method establishes a safety risk assessment model for gas
tunnels, which can allow management personnel to fully evaluate gas tunnel risk and provides a safe
construction environment.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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