ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Analysis of Factors Affecting Carbon
Emissions from Urban Land Use Based
on Improved LMDI Modeling
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1
Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China
2
China Coal Technology and Engineering Group Shenyang Research Institute, Fushun 113122, China
3
State Key Laboratory of Coal Mine Safety Technology, Fushun 113122, China
Submission date: 2024-03-26
Final revision date: 2024-05-13
Acceptance date: 2024-06-12
Online publication date: 2024-09-06
Corresponding author
Qiao Cui
Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China
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ABSTRACT
To understand the carbon emission influencing factors of urban land use, the study improves
the Kaya equation by analyzing the time-series characteristics of carbon emission from land use
and combining it with the improved logarithmic mean division index model to analyze the influencing
factors. From the results, the per capita and total carbon emissions from construction land in Shenyang
city show an increasing trend in the initial period, followed by a gradual decrease. From 2019 to 2022,
the net carbon emissions of Shenyang city decreased from 3165.79*104 tons to 2614.77*104 tons, showing
a decreasing trend in this time period. The emission intensity was ranked as construction land,
forest land, arable land, grassland, and water. The influencing factor analysis shows that the emission
intensity per unit of land has significant inhibitory effects on carbon emissions, with a total contribution
of -769.64*104 tons, while GDP per capita and population size become the main factors driving carbon
emissions. This suggests that future environmental policies should focus on the transformation of economic
development modes and the control of population growth. The research method can effectively
analyze the impact of various influencing factors on carbon emissions.