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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Analysis of the Relationship between Economic
Growth and Carbon Emission Decoupling
in Northeast China: Drivers and Implications
1
Department of Information Management, Dalian Neusoft University of Information, Dalian, China
Submission date: 2024-04-24
Final revision date: 2024-06-23
Acceptance date: 2024-07-15
Online publication date: 2024-11-05
Publication date: 2025-07-05
Corresponding author
Xuan Jiao
Department of Information Management, Dalian Neusoft University of Information, Dalian, China
Department of Information Management, Dalian Neusoft University of Information, Dalian, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(5):5173-5183
KEYWORDS
three northeastern provinces of Chinacarbon emissiondecoupling modelelement decompositioncointegration test
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
This study investigates the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth
in Northeast China based on the carbon emissions generated by energy consumption from 2002 to 2021.
Utilizing the Tapio decoupling model along with methods such as factor decomposition, cointegration
tests, and impulse response analysis, we delve into the influencing factors of carbon emissions and
their interaction effects. The results reveal significant variations in decoupling statuses across different
regions within the study period. GDP exhibits the most pronounced promoting effect on carbon
emissions, followed by petroleum consumption and population factors, with multifactor interactions
being more significant than single-factor effects. Both GDP and carbon emissions demonstrate stable
states at different lag orders, indicating a long-term cointegrating relationship between the two.
The findings contribute to understanding the diverse factors influencing carbon emissions, thereby
providing scientific support for governments to make informed decisions and formulate policies
effectively.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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