ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Impacts of Climate Change on Monthly Electricity Consumption: A Case of Tianjin, China
,
 
,
 
 
 
More details
Hide details
1
College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China
 
 
Submission date: 2020-10-18
 
 
Final revision date: 2021-01-10
 
 
Acceptance date: 2021-01-25
 
 
Online publication date: 2021-06-29
 
 
Publication date: 2021-07-29
 
 
Corresponding author
Pengbang Wei   

College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, No.92 Weijin Road, Nankai District, 300072, Tianjin, China
 
 
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2021;30(5):3927-3941
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The electricity supply chain, especially electricity demand, is very sensitive to climate. Developing a clear and quantitative understanding of the impacts of climate change on monthly electricity demand is critical for long-term generation capacity planning to maintain a reliable electricity supply system. A methodological framework applicable to city-level study is proposed and applied in Tianjin to investigate the impacts of climate change on monthly electricity consumption. By combining the empirical results with an ensemble of climate predictions under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), the study simulates the changes in monthly electricity demand caused by climate change in Tianjin by the end-of-century. The simulation results showed that climate change is projected to have severe impacts on the frequency and intensity of monthly peak electricity demand. Specifically, electricity demand in July would be 56% higher than that in November in 2099 under the RCP8.5 scenario. Climate change may drive substantial changes to the electricity supply chain, and our study is indicative of a need for adaptive strategies.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
 
CITATIONS (4):
1.
Modeling the impacts of climate change on monthly commercial sector electricity consumption: A case of Suzhou, China
Zhenyu Su, Zhifan Zhou
Energy Science & Engineering
 
2.
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting using ARIMAX, SARIMAX, and RNN-based Deep Learning Models on Electricity Consumption
Fj Vincent Atabay, Ryu Mendoza Pagkalinawan, Steven Dale Pajarillo, Alonica R. Villanueva, Jonathan V. Taylar
2022 3rd International Informatics and Software Engineering Conference (IISEC)
 
3.
Monitoring of Individual Household Electrical Appliances and Prediction of Energy Consumption Using Machine Learning
N. Selvam, D. Seenivasan, G. Naveen, R. Sudahar, P. Janagan, S. Dhanushmathi
2024 5th International Conference on Intelligent Communication Technologies and Virtual Mobile Networks (ICICV)
 
4.
Dynamic mechanism of electricity consumption in urban agglomerations in China based on a human-climate-spatiality framework
Haonan Dou, Gui Jin, Yuemin Ding, Tae-Woong Kim, Lei Luo, Si Chen
Environment, Development and Sustainability
 
eISSN:2083-5906
ISSN:1230-1485
Journals System - logo
Scroll to top