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eISSN: 2083-5906
ISSN: 1230-1485
ISSN: 1230-1485
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Distribution Shifts of Rhodiola kirilowii on
the Tibetan Plateau under Anthropogenic
and Future Climate Drivers
1
Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture Grassland Work Station, Kangding 626000, Sichuan, China
2
Sichuan Provincial Forest and Grassland Key Laboratory of Alpine Grassland Conservation and Utilization of Qinghai-
Tibetan Plateau, College of Grassland Resources, Southwest Minzu University, Chengdu 610225, Sichuan, China
3
Key Laboratory of Biodiversity and Environment on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, Ministry of Education, School of
Ecology and Environment, Xizang University, 850000, Lhasa, China
4
Dutch Pest & Wildlife Expertise Centre (KAD), Wageningen, Netherlands
These authors had equal contribution to this work
Submission date: 2025-09-22
Final revision date: 2025-11-04
Acceptance date: 2025-12-28
Online publication date: 2026-03-02
Corresponding author
Kong Yang
Sichuan Provincial Forest and Grassland Key Laboratory of Alpine Grassland Conservation and Utilization of Qinghai- Tibetan Plateau, College of Grassland Resources, Southwest Minzu University, Chengdu 610225, Sichuan, China
Sichuan Provincial Forest and Grassland Key Laboratory of Alpine Grassland Conservation and Utilization of Qinghai- Tibetan Plateau, College of Grassland Resources, Southwest Minzu University, Chengdu 610225, Sichuan, China
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The sustainable development of Tibetan Plateau plant resources is threatened by global climate
change. Rhodiola species, valuable in traditional Tibetan medicine, thrive in harsh high-altitude
environments but face overharvesting pressure. This study applied the MaxEnt model to project the
potential distribution of Rhodiola kirilowii and assess the impacts of future climate change and human
activities on its range and habitat centroid. Results show that R. kirilowii is currently concentrated along
the borders of Qinghai, Gansu, Sichuan, Yunnan, and Tibet. Human activities have substantially reduced
suitable habitat area. Under future climate scenarios (2050s and 2070s; SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585),
suitable habitats are projected to expand northwestward, with a notable overall area increase, especially
in high-altitude zones. The distribution centroid also shifts northwest, reflecting close links between
species distribution and environmental changes. These findings offer key insights into the ecological
adaptation and future distribution of Rhodiola species, while supporting conservation and sustainable
use planning for wild R. kirilowii.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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