ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Study on the Impact of Land Use and Climate
Change on the Spatiotemporal Evolution
of NDVI in Tianjin, China
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1
School of Applied Economics, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,
Huayan Rd, Huaxi District, Guiyang 550031, China
2
Western Modernisation Research Centre, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,
Huayan Rd, Huaxi District, Guiyang 550031, China
3
College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430079, China
Submission date: 2025-04-14
Final revision date: 2025-06-17
Acceptance date: 2025-07-14
Online publication date: 2025-10-13
Corresponding author
Maomao Zhang
College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430079, China
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ABSTRACT
With the acceleration of global urbanization, land use change and climate change have become
key elements affecting regional ecology and sustainable development. Focusing on Tianjin, this study
explored the spatial and temporal evolution patterns of land use change and climate change on vegetation
cover and their driving mechanisms from 2000 to 2020. The impacts of land use and climate change
on NDVI were quantitatively assessed by remote sensing images and meteorological data, combined
with the land use transfer matrix and statistical analysis methods. The results show that during
the period of 2000-2020, the land use change in Tianjin is remarkable, the rapid expansion of building
land becomes the main driving force, the area of forest land and grassland decreases first and then
increases, and the change of unused land shows a stage characteristic. The contribution of land use
change to vegetation cover change is higher than that of climate change, and its influence increases with
time. The overall trend of NDVI increases and then decreases, which is closely related to land use change
and ecological protection policies. In terms of climate change, the synergistic effect of temperature
and precipitation showed significant seasonal differences, with the highest correlation between NDVI
and temperature in autumn and a negative correlation between precipitation and NDVI in winter.
The study reveals the complex influence mechanisms of land use and climate change on vegetation
cover in Tianjin, providing a scientific basis for ecological protection and land resource management in
the process of urbanization, as well as a reference for sustainable development in other urbanized areas.