ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on the Spatial Heterogeneity of Carbon Intensity at the Provincial Level in China and Its Driving Factors
Hao Cui 1,2
,
 
 
 
 
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1
College of Civil Engineering, Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University, No.605 Fenglin Avenue, 330013, Nanchang, China
 
2
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering Technology Research Base of Think Tank, Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University, No.605 Fenglin Avenue, 330013, Nanchang, China
 
 
Submission date: 2024-03-02
 
 
Final revision date: 2024-04-24
 
 
Acceptance date: 2024-06-12
 
 
Online publication date: 2024-09-13
 
 
Publication date: 2025-05-09
 
 
Corresponding author
Zengbing Liu   

College of Civil Engineering, Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University, China
 
 
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(4):4049-4062
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
To effectively and expeditiously address emission reduction, a comprehensive understanding of the current status of carbon intensity and the spatial interactions of carbon intensity in China is necessary. This paper utilizes GIS technology, the Moran Index, and combines traditional Markov chain, spatial Markov chain, and social network analysis (SNA) methods to investigate various features of carbon intensity at the provincial level in China. The study yields the following findings: (1) The center of China’s carbon intensity has shifted towards the northwest, whereas the center of economic development has moved towards the south. This indicates a significant spatial divergence in China’s low-carbon development level. (2) The distribution pattern of carbon emission intensity in China is dominated by the proximity of high carbon emission intensity provinces to other high carbon emission intensity provinces and low carbon emission intensity provinces to other low carbon emission intensity provinces. (3) Carbon emission intensity exhibits significant spatial spillover effects, with positive spillover effects being more pronounced in regions with low carbon emission intensity. (4) The trend toward the development of China’s overall carbon intensity is positive, but the spatial connectivity network of carbon intensity demonstrates a tendency to be entrenched, and leading provinces in low-carbon development have yet to fully realize their positive driving role.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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