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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Risk Assessment and Analysis of Water Inrush
in Different Sections of Mines Based on
the FAHP-TOPSIS-FDM Method
1
Faculty of Public Security and Emergency Management, Kunming University of Science and Technology,
Kunming, Yunnan, 650093, China
2
Faculty of Land Resources Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology,
Kunming, Yunnan, 650093, China
3
Key Laboratory of Geohazard Forecast and Geoecological Restoration in Plateau Mountainous Area,
Ministry of Natural Resources of the People’s Republic of China, Kunming, Yunnan, 650000, China
4
The Third Geological and Mineral Exploration Institute of Gansu Provincial Bureau of Geology
and Mineral Resources, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China
Submission date: 2024-09-23
Final revision date: 2024-11-07
Acceptance date: 2025-01-07
Online publication date: 2025-03-17
Corresponding author
Baozhu Li
Faculty of Public Security and Emergency Management, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, Yunnan, 650093, China
Faculty of Public Security and Emergency Management, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, Yunnan, 650093, China
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Mine water disasters are a significant factor that constrains underground production activities.
To effectively conduct protection work against mine water inrush, it is important to predict and
analyze the risk degree of water inrush occurring in different middle sections. This study undertakes
an in-depth analysis of the water inrush risk situation in the 2960-2660 m middle section of the Zaozigou
Gold Mine. By establishing a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP)–TOPSIS (FAHP–TOPSIS)
coupling model, the concept of interval mathematics is incorporated into the TOPSIS method, and the
risk grade is calculated using the coupling model. A finite difference model equation is established by
utilizing Darcy’s law to visualize the water inrush risk situation in each middle section of the mine.
The results indicate the following: (1) Among the 12 crucial factors affecting underground water
inrush events identified and proposed in this paper, water richness has the most significant influence.
(2) The degree of risk of water inrush in the 2760 m middle section under the mine is relatively high, the
degree of risk in the 2710 m middle section is relatively low, and the degree of risk in the other middle
sections is moderate. (3) The water inrush risk in each middle section of the Zaozigou Gold Mine
exhibits no gradual increase or decrease trend but is closely related to specific underground geological
conditions.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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