ORIGINAL RESEARCH
“Coal-to-Oil Substitution”: New Energy Vehicles and Electricity Carbon Emissions – Based on “Ten Cities, Thousand Vehicles” Pilot Project
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Zhengzhou Business University, Zhengzhou, China
 
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School of Economics, Henan University, Kaifeng, China
 
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Henan Academy of Social Sciences, Zhengzhou, China
 
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Wuxi Institute of Technology, Wuxi, China
 
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Central China Development Research Institute, Henan University, Zhengzhou, China
 
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School of Politics and Public Administration, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
 
 
Submission date: 2024-12-30
 
 
Final revision date: 2025-06-04
 
 
Acceptance date: 2025-08-23
 
 
Online publication date: 2025-12-03
 
 
Corresponding author
Dong Xue   

Henan Academy of Social Sciences, Zhengzhou, China
 
 
 
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ABSTRACT
This study analyzes the impact of New Energy Vehicle (NEV) promotion on electricity sector carbon emissions using panel data from 50 Chinese cities (2006-2020) and a multi-period DID model. NEV promotion, while reducing transportation sector emissions, has increased carbon emissions in the electricity sector due to reliance on coal-based power generation. Results indicate that (1) In “Ten Cities, Thousand Vehicles” pilot cities, NEV adoption increased power sector carbon emissions by an average of 1.19%. Furthermore, the “Ten Cities, Thousand Vehicles” plan generated significant spatial spillover effects, elevating power sector emissions in neighboring regions. (2) Through China’s “West-to-East Power Transmission” project reveals that the use of electricity by NEVs also places carbon reduction pressure on the power generation sector. This pressure can shift through local and cross-regional electricity transmission, thereby creating a “regional transfer” effect of carbon emissions; (3) Mechanism analysis indicates that NEV usage increases regional electricity demand and fossil energy consumption while synergistically enhancing regional renewable energy technological innovation. Policy implementation has also accelerated advancements in “three-electric systems” (battery, motor, electronic control) and V2G technologies, which improve NEV energy efficiency though require further refinement; (4) Under policy synergies between NEV demonstration cities and low-carbon city initiatives, NEV promotion effectively mitigates carbon emission transfers to power sectors while amplifying environmentally positive externalities. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of the negative environmental externalities of NEV promotion, offering a new perspective on NEV development.
eISSN:2083-5906
ISSN:1230-1485
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