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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Analysis of Forecast Scenarios of Hazardous
Factors Affecting the Shift Settlement
of an Oil Field Indicators
1
Educational programs of Electric Power Engineering, Technosphere Safety and Ecology,
Korkyt Ata Kyzylorda University, 120000, Kyzylorda, Kazakhstan
2
Department of Life Safety and Environmental Protection, M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University,
160012, Shymkent Kazakhstan
3
Department of Mineaerology and a labor safety Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University,
100027, Karaganda, Kazakhstan
4
Department of Chemistry and Biology South Kazakhstan Pedagogical University named after O. Zhanibekov,
100027, Shymkent, Kazakhstan
5
Department of Higher mathematics and physics for technical specialties, M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University,
160012, Shymkent Kazakhstan
6
Department of Chemistry and Biology Regional Innovation University, 100027, Shymkent, Kazakhstan
Submission date: 2024-02-18
Final revision date: 2024-10-31
Acceptance date: 2024-12-16
Online publication date: 2025-02-25
Publication date: 2026-01-30
Corresponding author
Alexandr Kolesnikov
Department of Life Safety and Environmental Protection, M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University, 160012, Shymkent Kazakhstan
Department of Life Safety and Environmental Protection, M. Auezov South Kazakhstan University, 160012, Shymkent Kazakhstan
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2026;35(1):1091-1100
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
This article analyzes and models the impact of hazardous substances on the shift settlement
of the Kumkol field. The main important items involved in the technological process at the location
of these oil products are plastic oil, oil gas, distributed oil, and demulsifiers, which are used for
the development of oil emulsion and removal of water from oil in the process of separation of oil,
and inhibitors that are intended for the prevention of corrosion and corrosion, as well as other chemical
reagents and substances. The probability of accumulating the main explosive gasses and vapors
at the field arises in pipelines with oil and gas wells, in a complex oil preparation and injection plant,
and in oil and gas separators. The most dangerous objects include work in wells and oil pumping
tanks. The main simulated damaging factors in an oil field accident include thermal radiation from fire,
explosion overpressure, and toxic effects of hydrogen sulfide (H2S). According to the main scenarios,
the initial data depends on weather conditions, including wind speed. Probability of exposure to
damaging factors in the area of damage: Wind speed and direction greatly influence the level of damage
to people in the event of poisoning with toxic gasses or fire. The probability of an explosion of large volumes of gaseous masses can only occur in windless weather conditions. The explosion will not affect
the residential population as it is on the territory.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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