ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Predicting Environmental Covariates of Soil Organic Matter at Sub-Regional Scale for Sustainable Agricultural Development in Southeast Nigeria
 
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1
Evolutionary Studies Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Braamfontein, Johannesburg, South Africa
 
2
Department of Plant and Ecological Studies, University of Calabar, Calabar-Nigeria
 
3
Department of Geography, Federal College of Education, Obudu, Nigeria
 
4
Department of Environmental Education, University of Calabar, Calabar-Nigeria
 
 
Submission date: 2023-09-01
 
 
Final revision date: 2023-11-20
 
 
Acceptance date: 2024-04-07
 
 
Online publication date: 2024-09-06
 
 
Publication date: 2025-01-28
 
 
Corresponding author
Amuyou Ushuki Ayankukwa   

Department of Geography, Federal College of Education, Obudu, Nigeria
 
 
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(3):2011-2021
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Soil organic matter is an important indicator of soil health. It is a constituent of the ecological system that is vital to agricultural development and understanding of the global carbon cycle. The study used random forest regression, a machine learning algorithm, to identify relevant predictors of soil organic matter through the integration of field and Sentinel-2 derived vegetation indices and a selected reanalysis of climate data with topography. Three landcover types were purposefully delineated, and 72 soil samples were collected at a soil depth of 20 cm across the entire Cross River State, Nigeria. The samples were labeled and taken to the laboratory, where standard procedures were used in extracting the SOM. 80% of the point data sets were used in model calibration, while 20% were used to validate the model. Model analysis revealed that environmental covariates of SOM (topography, rainfall, maximum air temperature, OSAVI, EVI, and NDVI) produced high prediction accuracy with lower uncertainty. The maximum plot SOM was estimated to be 7.20% with overall mean values of 2.61. The test data sets yielded a model accuracy of 0.85, an RMSE of 36.7, a relRMSE of 34.3%, and a bias of 3.7 t/ha. Based on this, the paper argues that the identified environmental covariates can be optimized for the effective management of SOM for sustained agricultural development. This is pertinent in areas with highly weathered soils characterized by low nutrients and poor crop yields. The SOM map of this study can be used as a baseline for subsequent monitoring and management of SOM in the study area.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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