ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Research on Spatiotemporal Evolution
and Population Exposure Mortality Risk
of PM2.5 in Shandong Province
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School of Geographic Sciences, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang 464000, China
Submission date: 2025-04-07
Final revision date: 2025-05-31
Acceptance date: 2025-07-07
Online publication date: 2025-09-26
Corresponding author
Jun Yan
School of Geographic Sciences, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang 464000, China
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ABSTRACT
The research focuses on the spatiotemporal evolution and population exposure mortality risk of
PM2.5 in Shandong Province from 2014 to 2023, and the PM2.5 exposure risk assessment model and the
health effect assessment model are employed. The results showed that the annual average concentrations
of PM2.5 ranged from 16.80 to 108.70 μg/m3, with a significant decreasing trend. The exposure level
of the population showed a significant decreasing trend at a rate of 3,054,300 persons /year, with the
average number of exposed people being the highest in the cities in the central region and the lowest
in the Shandong Peninsula. There is an obvious spatial matching relationship between population
density and PM2.5 concentration, w ith a h igher r isk of PM2.5 population exposure. The annual average
of PM2.5 exposure was associated with all-cause mortality; the reduction of PM2.5 concentration is more
conducive to the reduction of the mortality rate from respiratory diseases. The overall distribution of the
total number of deaths from exposure showed a spatial pattern of more in the south and west and less in
the north and east. The research results can provide scientific references to formulate air environment
prevention and control policies and improve the health level of the population in Shandong Province.