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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of
Drought and Flood Disasters in Modern
Times of Jiangsu Province, China
1
Institute of Sci-Tech History and Meteorological Civilization, Nanjing University of Information Science and
Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
2
School of Chinese Language and Literature, Nanjing XiaoZhuang University, Nanjing 211171, China
3
College of Foreign Studies, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
Submission date: 2024-05-08
Final revision date: 2024-07-20
Acceptance date: 2024-09-13
Online publication date: 2024-11-13
Publication date: 2025-11-04
Corresponding author
Fuping Hui
Institute of Sci-Tech History and Meteorological Civilization, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 210044, Nanjing, China
Institute of Sci-Tech History and Meteorological Civilization, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 210044, Nanjing, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2025;34(6):7189-7201
KEYWORDS
drought and flood disastersJiangsu provincespatial and temporal characteristicswavelet analysisgeographically weighted regression
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Drought and flood disasters (DFD) are the primary natural hazards in Jiangsu province, often
occurring within the same year. This study analyzes historical DFD records (1840-1948) to examine their
spatial-temporal characteristics, causative factors, and socio-economic impacts using statistical analysis,
wavelet analysis, and geographically weighted regression (GWR). Results indicate the frequency of
floods slightly surpasses that of droughts, with peaks in summer and autumn. Geographically, the
distribution of DFD in modern Jiangsu exhibits distinct regional disparities, with a higher prevalence
in northern Jiangsu compared to the southern part of the province. Specific counties such as Gaoyou,
Jiangning, Suqian, Wujin, and Xinghua have reported DFD far more frequently than others. The 2-10-
year quasi-periodic temporal characteristics of DFD are identified through wavelet analysis. The GWR
model shows stronger drought correlations in northern regions and varying seasonal flood patterns. The
causes of DFD include monsoons, topography, population density, resource exploitation, and military
activities. Additionally, DFD significantly impacts population, economic development, and social
stability, causing life loss, displacement, and social disorder. The results provide a methodological
approach to deepen the understanding of the mechanisms and trends of DFD in Jiangsu province.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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