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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Evaluating the Carbon Pressure of China’s
Agricultural Development on Ecological
Sustainability
1
School of Economics, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin 643000, China
2
Wanda Film Company Limited, Beijing, 110000, China
Submission date: 2024-11-16
Final revision date: 2025-02-03
Acceptance date: 2025-04-06
Online publication date: 2025-06-04
Corresponding author
KEYWORDS
agricultural carbon emissionscarbon pressure indexregional disparitiesdecoupling analysisspatial autocorrelation
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
This study aims to assess the carbon pressure exerted by agricultural activities on ecological
sustainability across 31 provinces in China from 2003 to 2022. The Agricultural Carbon Pressure
Index (ACPI) is introduced to evaluate both agricultural carbon emissions and the ecosystem’s carbon
absorption capacity, providing a comprehensive regional perspective. The Tapio decoupling model is
applied to analyze the relationship between agricultural economic growth and carbon emissions, while
spatial autocorrelation analysis reveals geographical clustering patterns. The results highlight significant
regional disparities in agricultural carbon pressure, with higher levels in the eastern coastal regions and
lower levels in the western and northeastern regions. The findings underscore the need for differentiated
policy measures to promote low-carbon agricultural technologies and enhance ecological protection.
This study successfully achieves its goal of providing a scientific basis for sustainable agricultural
development strategies in China.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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