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eISSN: 2083-5906
ISSN: 1230-1485
ISSN: 1230-1485
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Impact of High-Quality Development on
Agricultural Carbon Emissions in the Yellow
River Basin, China: Based on the Dynamic
Spatial Durbin Model
1
School of Business, Henan Normal University, 453007 Xinxiang, Henan, China
2
Research Institute for Rural Revitalization and Common Prosperity, Henan Normal University,
Xinxiang 453007, Henan, China
Submission date: 2024-12-12
Final revision date: 2025-02-26
Acceptance date: 2025-04-06
Online publication date: 2025-06-06
KEYWORDS
agricultural carbon emissionshigh-quality developmentspatial Durbin modelpanel threshold effectYellow River Basin
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Reducing carbon emissions in agricultural production helps achieve green agricultural development
in the Yellow River Basin, China. Exploring the influence of high-quality development (HQD) on
agricultural carbon emissions (ACE) is of great significance for implementing low-carbon agriculture.
Using the panel data of 76 prefecture-level cities from 2005 to 2021, this paper analyzes the influence
and mechanism of HQD on ACE using the static and dynamic spatial Durbin, mediating effect,
and panel threshold models. Results show that carbon emissions from chemical fertilizers are
the highest, above 13 million tons. ACE in the eastern part is higher than in the western part. Empirical
analysis manifests that HQD correlates with ACE negatively, accompanied by a substantial negative
spatial spillover effect. The long-term effects of HQD, with estimated direct and indirect coefficients
of -0.771 and -1.461, are obviously greater than the short-term effects, with estimated coefficients of
-0.263 and -0.469. In addition, industrial structure upgrading plays a mediating role in the relationship
between HQD and ACE. Furthermore, there is a non-linear relationship between HQD and ACE.
When the degree of urbanization and economic development exceeds the threshold value, the effect
of HQD on ACE shifts from promotion to inhibition. These results have guiding significance for
low-carbon and sustainable agricultural practices.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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| eISSN: | 2083-5906 |
| ISSN: | 1230-1485 |
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