ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Population Flow, Urban Innovation and Carbon Emissions from Urban Agglomerations: A Spatial Econometric Analysis Based on Major Urban Agglomerations in China
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School of Labor Economics, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China
 
 
Submission date: 2025-05-19
 
 
Final revision date: 2025-08-21
 
 
Acceptance date: 2025-08-31
 
 
Online publication date: 2025-11-18
 
 
Corresponding author
Fulin Wei   

School of Labor Economics, Capital University of Economics and Business, No.121 of Huaxiang Zhangjialukou, 100071, Beijing, China
 
 
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Exploring the impact of population flow on carbon emissions in urban agglomerations against the background of urban innovation is of great significance for promoting regional low-carbon coordinated development and responding to climate change. Taking China’s three major urban agglomerations as the research object, this study introduces spatial factors to analyze the impact and mechanisms of heterogeneous population mobility on carbon emissions in the context of innovation. The findings reveal the following: (1) Carbon emissions in China’s three major urban agglomerations exhibit spatial correlation, and the spatial effects of different types of labor mobility on carbon emissions are complex. High-skilled labor flow helps reduce carbon emissions and mitigates the adverse impact of urban innovation on carbon emissions; low-skilled labor flow increases carbon emissions but is difficult to integrate with urban innovation, and the impact of urban innovation on carbon emissions does not change with the influence of low-skilled labor mobility. (2) There are significant differences in the spatial spillover effects of heterogeneous population flows on carbon emissions among China’s three major urban agglomerations. Due to the stronger administrative characteristics of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration compared to other urban agglomerations, the spatial spillover effects of carbon emissions from heterogeneous population flows are not significant. In contrast, the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations have relatively higher levels of integration, resulting in significant spatial spillover effects of carbon emissions from heterogeneous population flows. The article concludes by suggesting that institutional barriers hindering population mobility should be continuously removed, the positive interaction among cities should be activated, and the low-carbon development of urban agglomerations should be promoted.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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