Whether Scientific and Technological Innovation
Can Promote Carbon Productivity: an
Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Durbin
Model and Threshold Effect Model
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021, this paper constructs two index
systems to measure China’s carbon productivity (CP) and level of scientific and technological innovation
(STI) respectively. The two-way fixed effect model, spatial Durbin model, and threshold effect model
are used to explore the impact of STI on CP. The study found that: (1) STI can not only promote
the improvement of local CP, but also have a positive spatial spillover effect on CP in surrounding areas;
(2) The influence of STI on CP has regional differences, and STI in the eastern region has a significant
positive effect on CP in both local and neighboring provinces; The STI effect is not obvious in the central
and western regions. (3) The positive impact of STI on CP has the threshold characteristic of “marginal
increasing” and there is a single threshold effect with STI and R&D intensity as threshold variables.
The research conclusions provide empirical evidence for STI to promote the development of a lowcarbon
economy, and have implications for the implementation of regional coordinated development
and innovation-driven development strategies.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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