ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Influencing
Mechanism of Land Use on Ecosystem Service
Values in the Taihu Lake Basin in China
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1
School of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
2
Co-Innovation Center of the Sustainable Forestry in Southern China, Nanjing 210037, China
Submission date: 2025-02-17
Final revision date: 2025-06-25
Acceptance date: 2025-08-10
Online publication date: 2026-01-07
Corresponding author
Yongbo Wu
School of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
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ABSTRACT
The Taihu Lake basin is a critical ecological protection area in China. Understanding
the evolutionary process of land use and the Ecosystem Service Values (ESVs) of the Taihu Lake basin
is an important prerequisite for promoting its sustainable development. The land use change patterns
in the Taihu Lake basin based on data from 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2022, using land use transition
matrices and land dynamic index. Use of the land use classification precision of Kappa coefficient test
improves the equivalent factor method for calculating ecosystem services value. The result demonstrated
that: (1) the Kappa coefficient of 0.932; From 2005 to 2022, land use in the Taihu Lake basin underwent
significant changes, with the most prominent conversion from plowland to construction land.
The increase in water and forestland areas led to an 8.31% increase in total ESVs. (2) ESVs increased by
$1.181 billion over the past 17 years. Land use types such as water bodies, grasslands, and forestlands
accounted for 92.16% of the total ESVs. Key ecosystem services in the region, including hydrological
regulation, water resource supply, climate regulation, and environment cleaning, together contributed
83.61% of the total ESVs; (3) the ESVs are relatively insensitive to changes in coefficient values.
Currently, the primary challenge of ESVs is from plowland degradation. In the lower reaches, regulatory
services should be strengthened, provided that vegetation protection is maintained. Research on land use
evolution analysis in the Taihu Lake basin can provide valuable references for environmental protection
and urban and rural development.