ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Towards Green Development: Identifying
the Impact of Population Aging on China’s
Carbon Emissions Based on the Provincial
Panel Data Analysis
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Business School, Xiangtan University, Yanggutang Street, Yuhu District, Xiangtan City,
Hunan Province 411105, China
Submission date: 2023-11-06
Final revision date: 2023-12-04
Acceptance date: 2023-12-21
Online publication date: 2024-05-10
Publication date: 2024-06-07
Corresponding author
Xianpu Xu
Business School, Xiangtan University, Yanggutang Street, Yuhu District, Xiangtan City,
Hunan Province 411105, China
Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 2024;33(4):4861-4877
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ABSTRACT
With the rapid advancement of industrialization and urbanization, the increase in carbon emissions
and the continuous deepening of population aging have become two major challenges that hinder
the high-quality development of China’s economy. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces
in the Chinese Mainland from 2003 to 2020, this paper uses the two-way fixed effect model to investigate
the impact mechanism and effect of population aging on carbon emissions. The research results indicate that
the aging population has significantly exacerbated regional carbon emissions in China, and a series
of robustness tests have also confirmed this conclusion. From a regional perspective, the aging
population in developed, coastal, and inland regions has an exacerbating effect on carbon emissions.
Developed regions have the highest carbon emissions, followed by inland regions, and coastal regions
have the lowest. Underdeveloped regions have emission reduction effects. From the perspective
of the mechanism, population aging not only exacerbates regional carbon emissions through
consumption structure effects, but also promotes regional carbon emissions through production
effects. On this basis, in order to effectively achieve regional carbon reduction, this article proposes
a series of policy recommendations from accelerating population policy adjustment, optimizing energy
consumption structure, and strengthening cross regional collaborative environmental governance.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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